The Bay of Bengal, a powerhouse of monsoon, is forecast to remain active through the rest of August, popping up a helpful circulation or two, but confining rain mostly to the North-East, East India and the East Coast.
The Climate Prediction Centre of the US National Weather Service said the prevailing ‘low’ could end up as the strongest on view among a series of such circulations forming in the Bay.
Weak phase soon
This would be followed by a weak phase of the monsoon when rains get confined to the foothills of the Himalayas, the North-Eastern States, and along the East Coast, especially over Tamil Nadu.
Meanwhile, the US agency expected the prevailing ‘low’ to become more marked and productive over North-West India (West Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Haryana, Chandigarh and East Rajasthan) later during this week.
The India Met Department (IMD) concurred, saying that the ‘low’ located on Tuesday over South Jharkhand could become ‘marked’ (intensified) over the next two days.
The 24 hours ending Tuesday morning saw heavy to very heavy rainfall over Coastal Karnataka and heavy at isolated places over Odisha, and at a few places over Jammu & Kashmir, Punjab, hills of Bengal and Sikkim.
As for Wednesday, the IMD has forecast widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy rainfall activity with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh on Wednesday and over East Rajasthan.
Rainfall scenario
Widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls is also likely over Kerala during this period, but the IMD saw the intensity reducing drastically after Thursday.
The rainfall scenario for the country as a whole was unchanged from Monday with no deviation from the normal, though individual deficits persisted in a few Met subdivisions in Peninsular India, North-West India, and East India.
Source; BL
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